Cisco: MEA to top global mobile data traffic growth through 2019, with CEE close behind

Cisco predicted that the Middle East and Africa (MEA) will be the world's leading region in terms of mobile data traffic growth between 2014 and 2019, with traffic tipped to experience a 15.3-fold increase over the forecast period.

In an annual update of its Visual Networking Index report, the networking services company predicted that Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) will experience the second-largest growth in mobile traffic between 2014 and 2019, with 14.4-fold rise. Mobile data traffic in Latin America is tipped to experience a 10.1-fold increase over the five-year forecast period, followed by Asia Pacific (9.4-fold rise), North America (6.8-fold) and Western Europe (7.1-fold).

Cisco also noted that global mobile data traffic grew 69 per cent in 2014, which is on par with growth in 2012, but down on 2013. Traffic in the Middle East and Africa again tops the table, growing 107 per cent through 2014, followed by Central and Eastern Europe (91 per cent), Latin America (87 per cent), Asia Pacific (69 per cent), North America (63 per cent) and Western Europe (45 per cent).

Cisco also predicted that voice over Wi-Fi (VoWi-Fi) will surpass voice over LTE (VoLTE) by 2017, with 10.8 Petabytes of traffic per year (PB/year) compared to 10.7 PB/year for VoLTE. By 2019, VoWi-Fi minutes of use will account for 53 per cent of all mobile IP voice traffic, the company predicted.

The amount of cellular traffic that will be offloaded onto Wi-Fi is tipped to grow from 46 per cent of total mobile data traffic in 2014 to 54 per cent in 2019.

Mobile devices including wearables will help to spur the predicted rises in global mobile data traffic, Cisco noted. The company forecast that wearable device numbers will hit 578 million units in 2019 compared to 109 million in 2014, and noted that wearable devices generated six-times more data traffic per month than a basic handset through 2014. An average machine-to-machine (M2M) module generated three-times more data traffic in 2014, Cisco added.

The company also predicted that global mobile user numbers will grow from 4.3 billion in 2014 to 5.2 billion in 2019, and that mobile connections will increase from 7.4 billion in 2014 to around 11.5 billion in 2019--comprising 8.3 billion personal mobile devices and 3.2 billion M2M connections.

Cisco forecast that the average global mobile network speed will increase 2.4-fold, from 1.7 Mbps in 2014 to 4 Mbps in 2019, and predicted that mobile video will account for 72 per cent of total mobile data traffic by 2019 compared to 55 per cent in 2014.

For more:
- see this Cisco statement
- view the full report [PDF]

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