What's not going to happen in 2012?

LTE, Wimax, TD-LTE, and VoLTE
· LTE will NOT be the leading air interface protocol for mobile consumer devices in 2012
· VoLTE will NOT take off.
· TD-LTE will NOT take hold in the Chinese and Indian markets in 2012
 
Smartphones, mobile devices, and tablets
· Things are heating up between handset manufacturers in India. NOT all low-cost handset manufacturers will survive the Indian mobile market melee
· There will NOT be “smashproof” smartphones in 2012
· Despite low-cost Android smartphones and the resurgence of Windows, Apple will still hold the upper hand in carrier deals
· RIM will NOT get out of the tablet business in 2012
· Media tablets will NOT be a mass-market solution for 2012 despite a banner year in 2011
 
Mobile services, apps, and carriers
· The world will NOT rely on mobile phones for internet access in 2012 (or ever)
· HTML5 will NOT win the day in mobile apps
 
Location, advertising, and indoor location
· Location-based advertising will continue to play second fiddle to rich media in 2012
· Indoor location will NOT become commonplace in 2012
· Wii U will NOT replicate the magic of the original Wii and Microsoft will NOT release the next Xbox (there won’t be a Sony PS4, either)
· 2012 will NOT be the year that 3D takes over the world
· In 2012, VoD services will continue to dominate OTT services, NOT OTT streaming or the virtual cable operator concept
· The Indian fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) market will NOT be significant in 2012
 
M2M, home automation systems, smart cities, and wireless sensor networks
· With the housing market still unsteady, the newbuild home automation market will NOT resume leadership over the retrofit market in 2012
· Google’s new WSN protocol for home automation will NOT gain traction in 2012
· Despite the excitement over the prospect of these smart city projects, ABI Research believes that smart city operating systems will NOT revolutionize cities in 2012
· Smart grids standardization work will NOT be completed in 2012
 
 
Bluetooth low energy, Wi-Fi, and combo chipsets
· BLE and low-power Wi-Fi will NOT see widespread adoption in smart meters in 2012
· Bluetooth Smart will NOT displace proprietary offerings in the fitness device connectivity market in 2012
· Combo ICs will NOT be taking over the wireless connectivity world in 2012
· Carrier Wi-Fi momentum will NOT stop due to increasing LTE adoption
 
The connected car, hybrids, and electric vehicles
· The connected car will happen in 2012, but NOT the way we expect and it will NOT be the year for dramatic changes in the automotive market
· Don’t expect any major moves in the electric and hybrid market in 2012
 
NFC and payments
· Google and Isis will NOT cooperate and share open platforms to accelerate NFC payments in 2012
· The US will NOT begin a nationwide migration to the EMV standard in 2012
 
For the full report of ABI Research's “What’s NOT Going to Happen in 2012”, please click here to download the white paper in PDF format
 
 

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